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They’re 1-4, but the Houston Texans are much better than their document signifies.
Demeco Ryans’ group comes in as a 2.5-point underdog against the Jaguars in London, as many pundits joke that this is really a dwelling sport for their Eastern Florida foes.
Though that’s not precisely a actuality.
The Jaguars are 7-8 against the unfold in London since 2013 and have one cowl in their last 4 video games there.
They’re also 8-7 straight-up across the pond.
Jacksonville (4-1) is a very good staff, but so are the Texans.
Liam Coen’s group is No. 2 total in DVOA, but I’m anticipating main regression there.
The Jaguars are permitting 332 yards per sport (18th), but their DVOA rating is so excessive because they are coughing up just 13.3 factors per sport (second-best).
This is all backed by an elite red-zone protection; they’re giving up touchdowns on just 14 p.c of journeys, second greatest in the NFL.
CJ Stroud is all in this season for the Texans. USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
We saw cornerback Travis Hunter document an interception last week at the objective line against the Eagles; that won’t maintain up over a lengthy season.
The Texans began slowly, but I think they’re going to rip off a few consecutive wins beginning Sunday morning in England.
Target the Texans to win this abroad conflict, and this is going to be your last likelihood to wager on a preseason AFC favourite to win their division.
Houston has video games upcoming against the Giants (No. 27 DVOA), Chargers (No. 29 DVOA) and Browns (No. 26 DVOA).
Betting on the NFL?
That 0-4 begin could rapidly flip into 5-4 and you’ll be off to the races.
Buy low on a Houston staff that is all-in this yr.
PREDICTION: Texans moneyline (+130, 43.48 p.c, Novig) | Texans win the AFC South (+631, 13.68 p.c, Novig)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the soccer season he’s showcased large income at The Post in the participant prop market the last two seasons. While continuously betting lengthy photographs, his return on funding is 30.15 p.c since 2022.
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